Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.016360 0.020484 0.025925 0.033874 0.045655 0.063322 0.093759
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.011524 0.015834 0.022386 0.033838 0.055360 0.099783 0.223035
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.009355 0.013635 0.020781 0.034979 0.067227 0.156837 0.601000
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.007884 0.011972 0.019265 0.035232 0.077614 0.233865 1.913187
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.006643 0.010353 0.017264 0.033420 0.081416 0.304634 6.666287
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.005818 0.009278 0.015983 0.032639 0.087933 0.420936 85.461947
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.005408 0.008873 0.015919 0.034857 0.108105 0.779654 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.005165 0.008728 0.016357 0.038733 0.142797 1.986447 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004942 0.008577 0.016737 0.042760 0.189713 7.505086 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.004571 0.008056 0.016099 0.043082 0.216129 26.179880 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.004259 0.007611 0.015552 0.043505 0.247451 285.914657 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003898 0.007016 0.014497 0.041483 0.252442 14741.743523 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003527 0.006397 0.013382 0.039291 0.258896 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003263 0.005992 0.012783 0.039119 0.295120 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003080 0.005741 0.012553 0.040510 0.368910 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002891 0.005448 0.012136 0.040820 0.436093 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002664 0.005040 0.011303 0.038601 0.438789 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002491 0.004745 0.010756 0.037649 0.475093 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002415 0.004669 0.010858 0.040360 0.673165 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002376 0.004678 0.011235 0.045132 1.150525 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002333 0.004673 0.011564 0.050133 2.137600 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002227 0.004493 0.011265 0.050534 2.835829 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.002131 0.004331 0.011000 0.051063 3.915980 NaN NaN